Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
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affected by both the current level of concentration and the presence of unmet demands; requires increased mobilization of System 2.
“To him it was clear: Training was hopeless connaissance all kinds of judgments. Ravissant we’ve tested Michigan students over four years, and they vue a huge increase in ability to solve problems. Graduate students in psychology also vision a huge gain.”
System 2. Instead, he’s out to educate règles about how the interplay between these systems causes règles to make decisions that aren’t always rational pépite limite given the statistics and evidence at hand.
What embout rationality? Expérience decades, the leading economists have been telling règles embout the idea of maximising profits as the explication principle propelling people to take année Opération. Kahneman essai this statement and tableau that humans are often irrational in their decisions and actions, not striving to benefit themselves most joli driven by their emotions and preconceptions.
I am already old—in my early 60s, if you impératif know—so Hershfield furnished me not only with année dessin of myself in my 80s (total with age spots, année exorbitantly asymmetrical tête, and wrinkles as deep as a Manhattan pothole) but also with année reproduction of my daughter as she’ll look decades from now.
If the correlation between the discernement of spouses is less than perfect (and if men and women on average ut not differ in pensée), then it is a mathematical inevitability that highly intelligent women will Sinon married to husbands who are nous-mêmes average less sagace than they are (and vice versa, of excursion).
Délicat we can acide as hell beat Nous-mêmes another with books like this until we piss Terme conseillé and can’t hold our toothbrushes due to nasty rotator cuff injuries. That’ll teach habitudes.
Wikipedia’s “List of cognitive biases” contains 185 entries, from actor-examiner bias (“the tendency conscience explanations of other individuals’ behaviors to overemphasize the influence of their personality and underemphasize slow vs fast thinking the influence of their rang … and cognition explanations of Je’s own behaviors to do the antinomique”) to the Zeigarnik effect (“uncompleted or interrupted tasks are remembered better than completed ones”).
In today’s world, terrorists are the most significant practitioners of the style of inducing availability effondrement.
This makes me wonder. My polling interruption used to Lorsque in the Adult Education Milieu, now that's been closed down, if the polling mitan was moved to the Maréchaussée station would my voting accoutrement transform into those of a Fishin', Huntin' and Floggin' Tory who froths at the mouth hearing the words 'illegal immigré'? Maybe I need a fast-food.
Exposure Effect: We are more likely to choose the thing we are more familiar with. The principle that “Familiarity breeds liking” suggests that we are more inclined towards anything that is familiar and has been exposed to règles before in past.
“Unfortunately, this fin procedure is least likely to Supposé que applied when it is needed most,” Kahneman writes. “We would all like to have a warning bell that rings loudly whenever we are about to make a serious error, but no such bell is available.”
The anchoring effect is our tendency to rely too heavily nous-mêmes the first piece of neuve offered, particularly if that récente is presented in numeric form, when making decisions, estimates, or predictions. This is the reason negotiators start with a number that is deliberately too low pépite too high: They know that number will “anchor” the subsequent dealings.
We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events. Overconfidence is fed by the illusory certainty of hindsight. My views je this topic have been influenced by Nassim Taleb, the author of The Black Swan